However, a few issues have started to make me think that maybe now is the right time to leave China.
- The China Law Blog has commented on some unusual signs in the Chinese economy. An increasing number of Chinese companies working with foreign firms from various industries have exhibited behavior such as walking away from deals, disputing credit, sending faulty products or not sending at all. According to the author, "Chinese companies that are going out of business or believe they are going out of business have an annoying tendency to ship bad or fake or no product at all."
- For years rising housing prices have padded the pockets of Chinese middle class. The Wall Street Journal reported that housing prices have begun to fall (see this for a more recent report). Only month to month data is reportable, but could this be indicative of a larger trend?
- The age of China as the world's factory is ending. Prices are rising and the glut of blue collar workers, which to large effect fueled China's growth, is starting to disappear. While the extend of China's manufacturing demise is disputed, it is doubtful China can remain an export oriented manufacturing giant growing at double digit growth indefinitely.
No comments:
Post a Comment